04/24/2024

Chinese Stocks Surge as Investor Confidence Grows

Chinese stocks, currently trading at historically low levels, offer an appealing opportunity for investors looking for value in the market. Despite concerns surrounding the Chinese economy, including a decrease in foreign investments and a slowdown in the property market, recent indicators show signs of improvement. In February 2020, China experienced a 0.7% year-on-year increase in consumer prices, marking the end of a period of deflation. Additionally, factory activity in China has expanded for the third consecutive month, indicating a positive trend in the industrial sector. The Shanghai Composite Index has surged over 6% in the past month, surpassing the 3,000 mark and further boosting investor confidence in Chinese equities. Asset manager Jason Hsu recommends allocating approximately 7-8% of one's portfolio to Chinese stocks, suggesting a diversified strategy that includes investments in U.S. stocks (60%), developed markets like Japan (20%), and other emerging markets (12%). Hsu's investment advice is informed by the belief that Chinese stocks are undervalued and have the potential for growth in the future. Kweichow Moutai, a state-owned food and beverage company known for its production of high-quality liquor, is identified as a promising short-term investment opportunity. The company's strong brand presence and anticipated increase in demand for luxury alcohol are expected to drive margins higher. Additionally, Kweichow Moutai offers attractive dividends, making it a relatively secure investment choice. On the other hand, BYD, a prominent electric vehicle manufacturer, is recommended by Hsu as a long-term investment prospect. Backed by notable investor Warren Buffett, BYD is seen as a competitor to Tesla and other Chinese automakers in the rapidly growing EV market. Despite facing regulatory challenges akin to those Toyota encountered in the past, BYD recently introduced an electric supercar with impressive speed capabilities, showcasing its commitment to innovation and technological advancement. Analysts have expressed positive sentiment towards both Kweichow Moutai and BYD. Kweichow Moutai boasts 38 buy or overweight ratings and 2 hold ratings from a pool of 40 analysts, with an average price target implying a potential 25% upside. In the case of BYD, the company has garnered 33 buy or overweight ratings, 1 hold rating, and 1 sell rating from 35 analysts, with the average price target suggesting a potential downside of approximately 45.4%. Overall, the current market conditions present an opportune moment for investors to consider diversifying their portfolios with Chinese stocks, particularly with the potential growth prospects offered by companies like Kweichow Moutai and BYD, as outlined by Jason Hsu and supported by analyst assessments.